BUSINESS-ECONOMY
Ermotti noted that although market conditions might become more turbulent, particularly with the upcoming US presidential election and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, the data does not clearly indicate a recession. UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti, while speaking to CNBC on August 14, stated that while market volatility could rise in the latter half of the year, he does not foresee an imminent US recession. Ermotti's comments come amid recent global equity sell-offs driven by weak US economic data, which has fueled concerns about a potential economic downturn in the world's largest economy. Ermotti noted that although market conditions might become more turbulent, particularly with the upcoming US presidential election and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, the data does not clearly indicate a recession. Instead, he anticipates a possible economic slowdown. UBS projects that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by at least 50 basis points later this year. However, current market expectations are divided between a 25 or 50 basis point reduction at the Fed's September meeting. Recent weak economic indicators have led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may need to adopt a less aggressive monetary policy stance. The Fed has maintained rates at a 23-year high since late July. Ermotti emphasized that while macroeconomic indicators are uncertain, the Fed has the capability to support the economy, although it may take time for such measures to have an effect. In Switzerland, UBS's home market, the central bank has already implemented two rate cuts this year. Similarly, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England have both announced rate reductions. Ermotti acknowledged that increased market volatility could be a sign of underlying economic fragility but also suggested that higher volatility might benefit UBS by increasing trading income. A journalist, writing for the WION Business desk. Bringing you insightful business news with a touch of creativity and simplicity. Find me on Instagram as Zihvee, tr None
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